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Central Bank corporate bond purchase programmes
 
The announcement of the extension of the ECB’s Asset Purchases Programme to include investment-grade euro-denominated bonds issued by non-bank corporations established in the euro area is likely to have far reaching implications for European corporate bond markets, both primary and secondary, impacting investors, dealers, and issuers.

ECB cumulative purchases as at end of May 2018 (book value)



Source: ICMA analysis using ECB and Bloomberg/Markit data



 
Asset purchases to end in December 2018
June 14 2018
 
Following its meeting on June 14 2018, the ECB’s Governing Council announced that its Asset Purchase Programme (APP) will reduce its purchases of €30bn per month to €15bn per month after September, and cease at the end of December, subject to future economic data. The ECB also updated its forward guidance on rates, stating that these would remain at their present levels at least through to summer of 2019, and potentially longer, depending on its inflation outlook. The ECB provided no update on APP reinvestments.

Bond markets have taken the announcement and subsequent press conference as relatively dovish. In response to the news 2yr German government bond yields fell 5bp and 10yr yields 6bp. Meanwhile, credit spreads tightened, with the 5yr iTraxx main moving 3bp lower and the 5yr iTraxx cross-over 8bp lower.
 

ECB article on the successful implementation of the CSPP
May 2018

The ECB has published an article in its May 2018 Economic Bulletin that discusses The Impact of the Corporate Sector Purchase Programme on Corporate Bond Markets and the Financing of Euro Area Non-Financial Corporations.

The report concludes:
  • Since the announcement of the CSPP in March 2016, financing conditions for euro area NFCs have improved considerably. Much of the tightening of corporate bond spreads and increased issuance of corporate bonds can be directly attributed to the effects of the programme.
  • Indirectly, the CSPP has also had positive knock-on effects on the wider financing environment for firms in the euro area. Financing conditions outside of corporate bond markets improved, and there are indications that the CSPP has freed up the balance sheet capacity of banks to lend to companies that are not eligible under the programme.
  • While the programme appears to have contributed to a shift from bank to bond funding among eligible NFCs, this has not resulted in a decline in bank lending to the NFC sector as a whole.
  • Evidence of adverse side effects on corporate financing and market functioning as a result of the CSPP is rather scarce. In particular, the smooth implementation of the programme, underpinned by the flexible pace of Eurosystem purchases and its adaptability to dynamics in the primary market, has safeguarded corporate bond market functioning and liquidity conditions.
  • Overall, the findings back up the assessment of a successful implementation of the programme under changing market conditions without having a distortive market impact.

ECB announcement on the Asset Purchase Programme

October 2017

On 26 October 2017 the ECB’s Governing Council announced changes to its Asset Purchase Programme (APP). This was largely in line with consensus expectations of an extension of purchases, at a reduced rate, and with a shift in emphasis towards forward guidance. However, this is likely to have implications with respect to European corporate bond secondary market efficiency and liquidity.

The key changes to the APP are:
  • The APP is to be extended by 9 months to September 2018.
  • Rate of purchases to be reduced from €60bn to €30bn per month.
  • Programme to remain ‘open ended’, giving the GC room to increase the rate of purchases or to extend beyond Sep 2018, if they feel it necessary
  • Any rate rises will come ‘well after’ the programme ends (pointing well into 2019).
  • If the APP continues as scheduled, the ECB will hold around €2.5tn of assets by its conclusion this time next year: around a third of the Euro areas public debt.
  • No details were given with respect to the composition of the purchases, however additional information on the ECB website states: The Eurosystem anticipates that the purchase volumes under the three private sector purchase programmes (the ABSPP, the CBPP3 and the CSPP) will remain sizeable. This would suggest a relative shift from public to private assets, and, most likely, the emphasis being on the Corporate Sector Purchase Programme.
  • The ECB will also begin publishing monthly redemption amounts for the 4 APP components in anticipation of an increase in redemptions in 2018 (providing more transparency around its reinvestment schedule).
The continuation of the APP will potentially provide an even more complicated background as MiFID II/R is implemented in the European bond markets from January 2018. Accordingly, the intersection of monetary policy and market regulation as it impacts the European fixed income markets, in particular the corporate bond markets, will remain a high priority of the ICMA Secondary Market Practices Committee (SMPC).


29 September 2017

ECOFIN publishes 3 new papers assessing the CSPP


21 June 2017

The ECB publishes an update on the CSPP implementation and impact in its Economic Bulletin


3 November 2016
The ECB joined the regular meeting of the SMPC to discuss the ongoing implementation and impacts of its Corporate Sector Purchase Programme. A note of the meeting can be found here.


3 August 2016
ECB publishes update on the implementation of the CSPP in its Economic Bulletin


3 June 2016
Following yesterday’s meeting of the ECB’s Governing Council, further details of the CSPP have been made available (see press release here).

Of key note among the additional details are:
  • Purchases to start on June 8
  • A list of bonds purchased will be published weekly by the relevant NCBs (although only ISINs, not nominal holdings)
  • Purchases will be made available under the respective NCB securities lending/repo arrangements from June 18
  • Counterparties to CSPP purchases can communicate that the Eurosystem has been buying in the corporate space, the maturity bucket and the sector (e.g. utilities), but not the exact amounts, the issuers of the bonds purchased, the securities involved, or the Eurosystem member involved.
  • Further clarity is provided related to non-eligible financial issues: essentially purchases will exclude bonds issued by an entity, or its subsidiary, that is supervised under the Single Supervisory Mechanism, as well as issuers with a parent company that is subject to banking supervision outside of the euro area.
The updated Q&A is provided here.


29 April 2016

ICMA publishes further thoughts on the ECB’s CSPP following the announcement of details of the Programme on 21 April


21 April 2016

ECB announces details of the corporate sector purchase programme (CSPP)


21 April 2016

The announcement by the ECB on March 10 to extend its Asset Purchases Programme to include investment grade non-bank corporate bonds took the market by complete surprise. This briefing note is an attempt to outline the various considerations that the ECB may need to review as it puts together the final details of its soon to be launched Corporate Sector Purchase Programme, as well as the possible implications for market liquidity and investor and issuer behaviour.

To view the briefing note, click here.


15 March 2016

ICMA has today published a briefing note on how ICMA intends to respond to the Corporate Sector Purchase Programme, and to work with its members, across committees and the regions, to help ensure that the CSPP achieves its objective without compromising resilient and well-functioning European corporate bond markets.

To view the briefing note, click here.




Contact:

Andy Hill
Senior Director, Market Practice and Regulatory Policy; secretary to the ICMA Secondary Market Practices Committee.
Direct line: +44 20 7213 0335
EMAIL | DOWNLOAD BUSINESS CARD
26 March 2018
The Bank of England has published a Staff Working Paper on the impact of the Bank of England’s Corporate Bond Purchase Scheme on yield spreads.

The CBPS, announced in August 2016, targeted purchases of up to £10bn of investment grade, sterling corporate bonds issued by firms making a ‘material’ contribution to the UK economy.

The analysis finds that compared to sterling investment-grade corporate bonds that are non-CBPS eligible, CBPS eligible bonds tightened by about 2-5bp after the announcement of the scheme. However, this is likely to underestimate the effect of purchases since it does not account for portfolio rebalancing. Comparing yield spreads of eligible sterling bonds with EUR and USD bonds issued by the same firms, shows that sterling assets tightened by 13-14bp.

The paper suggests that the effect of the scheme on yield spreads may come from two channels. First, the presence of a large market participant increases market liquidity, i.e. reduces the illiquidity premium. Investors readjust their portfolio of sterling corporate bonds: selling eligible assets, and buying ineligible ones. Second, a lower level of yields in the secondary market reduce companies’ funding costs when they decide to issue debt in the future, which can improve their profitability and thereby lower their credit risk premia. This effect reinforces the reduction in yield spreads.


10 November 2016
The Bank of England  joined an ad hoc meeting of the SMPC to discuss the ongoing implementation and impacts of its Corporate Bond Purchase Scheme. A note of the meeting can be found here.


Bank of England publishes Press Notice on the eligibility and sectors under the Corporate Bond Purchase Scheme


On 12 September 2016, the Bank of England published a press notice providing further details on the eligibility and sectors under the Corporate Bond Purchase Scheme. The notice can be downloaded here.

This expands on the Market Notice published on 4 August 2016, and available here.




Contact:

Andy Hill
Senior Director, Market Practice and Regulatory Policy; secretary to the ICMA Secondary Market Practices Committee.
Direct line: +44 20 7213 0335
EMAIL | DOWNLOAD BUSINESS CARD